Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.020134 0.021769 0.023474 0.025384 0.027467 0.029670 0.032179
2025-09-14 0.017314 0.019659 0.022237 0.025288 0.028804 0.032739 0.037487
2025-09-21 0.015339 0.018054 0.021158 0.024982 0.029578 0.034945 0.041714
2025-09-28 0.014087 0.017071 0.020594 0.025077 0.030658 0.037408 0.046243
2025-10-05 0.013006 0.016156 0.019976 0.024977 0.031390 0.039388 0.050198
2025-10-12 0.012202 0.015494 0.019584 0.025074 0.032306 0.041577 0.054480
2025-10-19 0.011512 0.014910 0.019225 0.025151 0.033150 0.043667 0.058706
2025-10-26 0.010845 0.014301 0.018777 0.025056 0.033721 0.045383 0.062480
2025-11-02 0.010295 0.013805 0.018436 0.025060 0.034396 0.047241 0.066523
2025-11-09 0.009670 0.013165 0.017856 0.024685 0.034499 0.048276 0.069416
2025-11-16 0.009074 0.012529 0.017240 0.024214 0.034417 0.049017 0.071884
2025-11-23 0.008625 0.012072 0.016844 0.024024 0.034714 0.050297 0.075202
2025-11-30 0.008187 0.011624 0.016458 0.023855 0.035075 0.051752 0.078985
2025-12-07 0.007794 0.011221 0.016116 0.023735 0.035502 0.053338 0.083091
2025-12-14 0.007385 0.010772 0.015682 0.023444 0.035643 0.054476 0.086536
2025-12-21 0.007111 0.010509 0.015507 0.023533 0.036367 0.056551 0.091623
2025-12-28 0.006811 0.010190 0.015228 0.023440 0.036787 0.058149 0.095999
2026-01-04 0.006579 0.009962 0.015074 0.023530 0.037499 0.060249 0.101351
2026-01-11 0.006359 0.009740 0.014916 0.023602 0.038176 0.062317 0.106766
2026-01-18 0.006116 0.009471 0.014671 0.023513 0.038572 0.063923 0.111450
2026-01-25 0.005910 0.009249 0.014489 0.023517 0.039119 0.065807 0.116748
2026-02-01 0.005641 0.008916 0.014110 0.023167 0.039034 0.066573 0.120017
2026-02-08 0.005371 0.008567 0.013691 0.022728 0.038763 0.066986 0.122635